Newsletter: LNG critics miss marks, U.S. tariff plan, Indigenous energy, and more . . . .

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Our newsletter: 05 December 2024

Graphic: world demand for LNG

LNG critics’ hype misses marks

Opponents of LNG development lost no time in urging the new BC government to squash the industry. But they ignored how world LNG demand is strong, and BC’s LNG is cleaner. And they ignored much more about the benefits.

Instead of the usual environmental attack, the hype used a new angle: It said the LNG industry needs more electricity, but LNG is a risky business, and so BC should provide clean electricity not to LNG producers but to ‘net-zero-aligned industries that are showing much more promising growth over the long term.’

The LNG critics ignored such estimates as the graphic one above, showing world LNG use growing by 90 per cent by 2039, and they ignored other forecasts of increasing global demand.

Australia’s Woodside Energy, for one, said last week that it expects the global market for LNG to grow by 50% over the next 10 years. Shell forecast earlier that world demand by 2040 will be up nearly 70%. Energy consultant Wood Mackenzie sees LNG demand from Asia growing almost 90% by 2050.

The gripers ignored, too, how the BC government expects to take in $684 million from natural gas for 2023-24. And how it expects natural-gas royalties to BC to grow to $1.43 billion in 2027.

Photo: Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau

Trump and Trudeau meet on U.S. tariff plan

U.S. president-elect Donald Trump said he had a “very productive meeting” with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, after the two leaders got together at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.

The visit came after Trump had promised Americans that he would impose tariffs of 25% on “all” U.S. imports from Canada and Mexico.

If he indeed means “all’, then the charges would apply to huge U.S. imports of natural gas and oil from Canada.

Canada supplies 99.5% of US natural-gas imports, sending south some 6.5 billion cubic feet a day via pipeline. Canada thus provides 9% of the gas used by US homes and businesses. And our oil exports to the U.S. have been running at some 4.3 million barrels a day.

Trump called the meeting “very productive” but did not specifically mention energy imports. Trudeau said he had an “excellent conversation” but also did not mention tariffs on oil, gas, and energy.

Sources said Trump and his team indicated they plan to balance their federal budget through tariffs, and then strike exemption side-deals on a country-by-country basis.

Trump firmly linked tariffs to his demand for tighter border controls with Canada (and Mexico) to combat organized crime’s drug smuggling and illegal entry by people. Trudeau said Canada will put more helicopters into service for border patrols.

Photo: Cowessess nation celebrates windfarm

Indigenous energy news

ALSO IN THE NEWS

  • FortisBC aims to have its Tilbury Phase 2 LNG expansion in Delta ‘carbon neutral (that is, net zero) by 2030.’ https://ow.ly/9I2R50UkS4B
  • Canada should look for more export customers for our natural gas and oil. And kickstart the second phase of LNG Canada or Ksi Lisims LNG. https://ow.ly/1T5g50Ui7Fo
  • First Nations are participating in major projects totalling $45 billion, says a report from the First Nations Major Projects Coalition https://ow.ly/21SL50UhJJw
  • The First Nations Climate Initiative gets ‘new partners’ in its drive to reduce emissions from using LNG: https://ow.ly/TraK50Uh5mq
  • BC’s environmental certificate for the PRGT pipeline, to feed Ksi LisimsLNG, was to expire on Nov. 25. The BC Environmental Assessment Office now will determine if the line has been “substantially started.” If so, the certificate could remain alive. https://ow.ly/q0hz50UehiK
  • The BC Environmental Assessment Office has received a request from Cedar LNG to change plans related to powerlines and the marine terminal area for its LNG facility near Kitimat. The EAO is assessing it. More info: https://ow.ly/eKhg50Ugmzg

 EVENTS

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